← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Feb 25, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Víctor García
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 59% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 18% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −1 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Almeria −1 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Srđan Babić · Almeria |
| 27' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 31' | ⚽ | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
| 36' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bouldini · Fuenlabrada |
| 65' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Almeria |
| 77' | ⚽ | Dyego Sousa · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Curro · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 330.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1622.86 | 1445.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.25 | 3.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 61.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | -2.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.52 | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -1.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |