← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 55% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Lugo win | 17% | 6.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | David Timor · Huesca |
| 84' | 🟨 | Dani Escriche · Huesca |
| 87' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
| 88' | 🟥 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaime Seoane · Huesca |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jaime Seoane · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 264.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.77 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1555.54 | 1489.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.04 | 9.82 |
| eye test v1 | 1.33 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| league points | 38.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 28.41 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -1.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |