← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 36% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.89 |
| Oviedo win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Oviedo +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Gastón Brugman · Oviedo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Tarin · Oviedo |
| 58' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Viti Rozada · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Luismi · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 629.00 | 750.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1521.51 | 1533.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.33 | 1.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| league points | 41.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 26.68 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |