← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 13, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 51% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.02 |
| Burgos win | 23% | 7.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Burgos −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 45' | 🟨 | Raúl Navas · Las Palmas |
| 48' | ⚽ | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 56' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 63' | 🟨 | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 71' | ⚽ | Andy Rodríguez · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 43.00 | 622.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1521.99 | 1503.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.28 | 7.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| league points | 46.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.11 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.23 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.50 | 27.99 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |