← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Cartagena win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Miguel Ángel Guerrero · Ibiza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dauda Mohammed · Cartagena |
| 49' | 🟨 | Miguel Ángel Guerrero · Ibiza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Julio Buffarini · Cartagena |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Vázquez · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Gallar · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 73.00 | 407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1499.57 | 1502.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.23 | -6.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.89 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.57 | 29.80 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |