← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Girona win | 19% | 5.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Valladolid −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Álex Baena · Girona |
| 45' | ⚽ | Bernardo Espinosa · Girona |
| 59' | ⚽ | Sergio León · Valladolid |
| 80' | ⚽ | Jon Morcillo · Valladolid |
| 83' | 🟨 | Roque Mesa · Valladolid |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jawad El Yamiq · Valladolid |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Samu Sáiz · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 256.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1622.98 | 1585.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.67 | 11.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 57.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 26.77 |
| state index | 0.89 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 1.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |