← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 6, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Las Palmas win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Las Palmas +0 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 28' | ⚽ | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 39' | 🟨 | Omenuke Mfulu · Las Palmas |
| 67' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sebastián Cristóforo · Cartagena |
| 74' | 🟨 | Gastón Silva · Cartagena |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergi Cardona · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 401.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1521.05 | 1503.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.21 | -3.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.62 |
| league points | 48.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 30.04 | 27.85 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |