← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Feb 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.60 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 24% | 4.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Valladolid +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.89 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 24' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 44' | 🟨 | Javi Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 78' | 🟨 | Roque Mesa · Valladolid |
| 81' | 🟨 | Pol Valentín · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bouldini · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alejandro Sotillos · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jawad El Yamiq · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 67.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1440.20 | 1626.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.42 | 19.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 25.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 8.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.67 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 26.38 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.47 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |