← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Feb 4, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Ibiza win | 20% | 5.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Ibiza −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Francisco Portillo · Almeria |
| 33' | 🟨 | Papakouli Diop · Ibiza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 38' | 🟨 | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Miguel Cifuentes · Ibiza |
| 46' | 🟨 | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alejandro Gálvez · Ibiza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alejandro Gálvez · Ibiza |
| 73' | 🟥 | Alejandro Gálvez · Ibiza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 309.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1603.94 | 1508.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -66.69 | 21.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 1.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 2.22 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 52.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 25.67 | 28.12 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |