← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 21% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Julián Delmás · Cartagena |
| 17' | 🟨 | Dauda Mohammed · Cartagena |
| 19' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 36' | 🟨 | Pol Valentín · Fuenlabrada |
| 37' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 52' | 🟨 | Álex Gallar · Cartagena |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 69' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 84' | 🟥 | Aboubakary Kanté · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | ⚽ | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 394.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1509.24 | 1452.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.15 | -16.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| league points | 45.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 5.79 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.94 | 27.56 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.16 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |