← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 23, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ponferradina win | 23% | 4.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Huesca −0.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 16' | 🟨 | David Ferreiro · Huesca |
| 39' | 🟨 | Sergi Enrich · Ponferradina |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Huesca |
| 62' | 🟨 | José Copete · Ponferradina |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pablo Martínez · Huesca |
| 80' | ⚽ | Pablo Martínez · Huesca |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 236.00 | 1332.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1561.32 | 1521.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.63 | -13.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.75 |
| league points | 34.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 15.09 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |