← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 23, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Lugo win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona −0.5 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Lugo −0.5 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Orest Lebedenko · Lugo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Samu Sáiz · Girona |
| 55' | ⚽ | Nahuel Bustos · Girona |
| 60' | 🟨 | Santiago Bueno · Girona |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 80' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.60 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadi Municipal de Montilivi |
| coach days | 206.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1590.03 | 1480.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.19 | 31.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 40.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 14.18 | 3.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | -1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 27.46 |
| state index | 0.87 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |