← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 9, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 43% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Almeria win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Lucas Robertone · Almeria |
| 37' | ⚽ | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 51' | ⚽ | Arvin Appiah · Almeria |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sergi Cardona · Las Palmas |
| 55' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 59' | 🟨 | Óscar Pinchi · Las Palmas |
| 61' | 🟨 | Srđan Babić · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adalberto Peñaranda · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 8.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1520.71 | 1654.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.22 | -7.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.82 |
| league points | 40.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 2.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.30 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 24.96 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |