← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 9, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Zaragoza win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 57' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 75' | 🟨 | Borja Sainz · Zaragoza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1318.00 | 526.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1524.30 | 1470.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.53 | -24.76 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 41.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 9.27 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.30 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.56 | 27.24 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |