← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 2, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Ibiza win | 29% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | David Goldar · Ibiza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 73' | ⚽ | Davo · Ibiza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alejandro Sotillos · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 32.00 | 32.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1457.63 | 1468.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.09 | -48.72 |
| eye test v1 | -1.37 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 14.29 | 15.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.25 | 28.76 |
| state index | -0.82 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |