← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 2, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Mirandes win | 30% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Zaragoza +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Francho Serrano · Zaragoza |
| 14' | ⚽ | Alejandro Marqués · Mirandes |
| 21' | 🟨 | Víctor Sanchís · Mirandes |
| 25' | 🟨 | César Gelabert · Mirandes |
| 38' | 🟥 | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 39' | 🟨 | Riccardo Capellini · Mirandes |
| 47' | 🟨 | Iago López Carracedo · Mirandes |
| 69' | 🟨 | Anderson Arroyo · Mirandes |
| 72' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Zaragoza |
| 79' | ⚽ | Alejandro Marqués · Mirandes |
| 83' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 215.00 | 519.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1449.72 | 1484.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.58 | -28.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| league points | 26.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 23.89 | 27.74 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |