← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Jan 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 53% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Cartagena win | 22% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 47% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
| 36' | 🟨 | Gastón Silva · Cartagena |
| 39' | ⚽ | Gastón Silva · Cartagena |
| 40' | 🟨 | Berto Cayarga · Cartagena |
| 50' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 65' | 🟨 | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟥 | Nacho Gil · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 276.00 | 366.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1670.62 | 1492.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.59 | 11.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 51.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 21.82 | 13.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 2.32 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 30.15 |
| state index | 1.14 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |