← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Dec 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Oviedo win | 22% | 4.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oviedo −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 18' | 🟨 | Kike Pérez · Valladolid |
| 21' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Valladolid |
| 29' | ⚽ | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nacho Martinez · Valladolid |
| 60' | 🟨 | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 63' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Valladolid |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jawad El Yamiq · Valladolid |
| 76' | 🟨 | Erik Jirka · Oviedo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Rubén Alcaraz · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 194.00 | 680.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1578.19 | 1524.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.07 | 17.06 |
| eye test v1 | 1.03 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| league points | 34.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |