← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Dec 11, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
| Lugo win | 15% | 6.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Tenerife |
| -5' | 🟥 | Ethyan González · Tenerife |
| 32' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 38' | ⚽ | Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 41' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
| 49' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 61' | 🟨 | Samuel Shashoua · Tenerife |
| 62' | 🟨 | Óscar Whalley · Lugo |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 405.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1562.48 | 1448.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.96 | 11.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| league points | 38.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 60.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 5.11 | 6.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -2.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 27.62 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -1.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |