← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Dec 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 49% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Amorebieta win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta −0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.51 |
| Over | 35% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Gorka Guruzeta · Amorebieta |
| 15' | 🟨 | Gaizka Larrazabal · Amorebieta |
| 32' | 🟨 | Dani Martín · Málaga CF |
| 38' | ⚽ | Gorka Guruzeta · Amorebieta |
| 73' | 🟨 | Sekou Gassama · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟥 | Genaro · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Oier Luengo · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 187.00 | 1648.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1477.22 | 1439.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.74 | -9.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 29.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 58.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -2.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 27.66 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |