← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Dec 4, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 27% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Fuenlabrada +0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 51' | 🟨 | Srđan Babić · Almeria |
| 53' | ⚽ | Roman Zozulya · Fuenlabrada |
| 65' | 🟨 | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 67' | 🟨 | Cristóbal Márquez · Fuenlabrada |
| 72' | ⚽ | Juan Villar · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Juan Villar · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 3.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1465.13 | 1666.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.26 | 26.98 |
| eye test v1 | -1.31 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.40 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.93 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.89 | 25.83 |
| state index | -0.84 | 1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |