← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Dec 3, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 35% | 2.87 |
| Huesca win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Valladolid +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Adolfo Gaich · Huesca |
| 21' | ⚽ | Ignasi Miquel · Huesca |
| 25' | 🟨 | Roque Mesa · Valladolid |
| 35' | 🟨 | Javi Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 56' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Plata · Valladolid |
| 63' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Plata · Valladolid |
| 80' | ⚽ | Jaime Seoane · Huesca |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kike Pérez · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 25 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 185.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1552.68 | 1587.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.36 | -4.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | — |
| league points | 25.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.11 | 6.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 25.90 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |