← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza win | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Ponferradina win | 27% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 48% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 31' | 🟨 | Germán Parreño · Ibiza |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 40' | 🟨 | Javier Pérez Mateo · Ibiza |
| 48' | 🟨 | Eduardo Espiau · Ponferradina |
| 67' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 86' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 484.00 | 1276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1517.06 | 1522.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.70 | 28.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 26.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 28.15 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |