← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Amorebieta win | 30% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Zaragoza +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Zaragoza |
| 24' | ⚽ (og) | Jair Amador · Amorebieta |
| 29' | 🟨 | Aitor Aldalur · Amorebieta |
| 54' | 🟨 | Óscar Gil · Amorebieta |
| 68' | 🟥 | Iñigo Orozco · Amorebieta |
| 71' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Iker Bilbao · Amorebieta |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gorka Larrucea · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gorka Guruzeta · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Igbekeme · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 1641.00 | 484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1440.10 | 1495.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.47 | 35.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.46 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| league points | 14.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.09 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |