← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Burgos win | 21% | 4.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Cartagena |
| 41' | 🟨 | Fran García Solsona · Burgos |
| 54' | 🟨 | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 67' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alberto de la Bella · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 324.00 | 538.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.25 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1481.65 | 1463.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.16 | -4.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 6.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 28.59 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |