← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Nov 20, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Valladolid win | 27% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Valladolid −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (og) | César de la Hoz · Valladolid |
| 30' | 🟨 | Luis Pérez · Valladolid |
| 37' | 🟥 | Óscar Plano · Valladolid |
| 42' | 🟨 | Sergio León · Valladolid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 52' | ⚽ | Largie Ramazani · Almeria |
| 70' | ⚽ | Sergio Akieme · Almeria |
| 77' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 86' | ⚽ | Francisco Portillo · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Srđan Babić · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 233.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 3.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1662.00 | 1588.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.23 | 21.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.76 |
| league points | 43.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.39 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 26.56 |
| state index | 0.99 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |