← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Lugo win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Lugo −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 7' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 29' | ⚽ | Iker Bilbao · Amorebieta |
| 43' | ⚽ | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Oier Luengo · Amorebieta |
| 45' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jaume Cuellar Mendoza · Lugo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gorka Larrucea · Amorebieta |
| 81' | 🟨 | Francisco Vieites · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Álvaro Peña · Amorebieta |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 1627.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1469.47 | 1427.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.57 | -24.51 |
| eye test v1 | -1.32 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.54 | -1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.18 | 26.42 |
| state index | -0.28 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |