← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Nov 7, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 64% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.75 |
| Burgos win | 13% | 10.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Almeria −1.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
| 42' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 48' | 🟨 | Míchel Zabaco · Burgos |
| 51' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 62' | 🟨 | Curro · Almeria |
| 63' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 74' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 80' | 🟨 | Umar Sadiq · Almeria |
| 82' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Burgos |
| 89' | 🟨 | Samú Costa · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juanma García |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| 90' | ⚽ | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
| coach days | 220.00 | 524.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1648.23 | 1460.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.49 | 10.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 4.97 | 2.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.31 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.50 | 28.04 |
| state index | 0.97 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |