← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Nov 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 38% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.93 |
| Ponferradina win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ponferradina +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 57' | ⚽ | Juan Antonio Ros · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 76' | 🟨 | Sergi Enrich · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 219.00 | 1254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1437.14 | 1494.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.36 | -0.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 27.57 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |