← Segunda División 2021 · Thu, Nov 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Burgos win | 30% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Zaragoza +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.42 |
| Over | 32% | 2.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Míchel Zabaco · Burgos |
| 66' | 🟨 | Lluis Lopez · Zaragoza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Álvaro Giménez · Zaragoza |
| 83' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 521.00 | 460.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1472.12 | 1459.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.74 | 4.36 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 3.03 | 3.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 28.40 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |