← Segunda División 2021 · Wed, Nov 3, 08:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 17% | 6.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Aldair Fuentes · Fuenlabrada |
| 34' | ⚽ | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 41' | 🟨 | Pol Valentín · Fuenlabrada |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 46' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 51' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 51' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 51' | 🟥 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 60' | 🟨 | Benito Ramírez · Las Palmas |
| 70' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 76' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| 79' | ⚽ | Roman Zozulya · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio González · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arturo Molina Tornero · Fuenlabrada |
| coach days | 978.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1529.85 | 1477.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.17 | -16.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 39.70 | 44.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| league points | 26.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 5.05 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 29.80 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.08 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |