← Segunda División 2021 · Wed, Nov 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 47% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Amorebieta win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Amorebieta +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Iñigo Orozco · Amorebieta |
| 18' | ⚽ | Fede San Emeterio · Valladolid |
| 29' | ⚽ | Lander Olaetxea · Amorebieta |
| 33' | 🟨 | Oier Luengo · Amorebieta |
| 35' | ⚽ | Iker Unzueta Arregui · Amorebieta |
| 40' | 🟨 | Iñigo Orozco · Amorebieta |
| 46' | 🟨 | Iker Unzueta Arregui · Amorebieta |
| 86' | ⚽ | Gaizka Larrazabal · Amorebieta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 1616.00 | 155.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1449.39 | 1591.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.80 | 49.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.47 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 4.17 | 3.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.47 | 29.57 |
| state index | -1.10 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |