← Segunda División 2021 · Wed, Nov 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Lugo win | 25% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Lugo −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 36' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 46' | ⚽ | Alejandro López · Mirandes |
| 56' | 🟨 | Bojan Letić · Mirandes |
| 56' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Sergio Camello · Mirandes |
| 68' | 🟨 | Diego Alende · Lugo |
| 71' | ⚽ | Joselu · Lugo |
| 74' | ⚽ | Sergio Camello · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 155.00 | 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1451.00 | 1445.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.12 | 11.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 2.94 | 4.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.79 | 25.62 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |