← Segunda División 2021 · Mon, Nov 1, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Burgos win | 17% | 6.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Tenerife |
| 26' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 41' | ⚽ | Samuel Shashoua · Tenerife |
| 52' | 🟨 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 54' | ⚽ | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 71' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Tenerife |
| 81' | ⚽ | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 365.00 | 518.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1529.55 | 1485.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.54 | 33.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.80 |
| league points | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 8.93 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 27.45 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |