← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Oct 24, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 35% | 2.88 |
| Burgos win | 33% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Burgos +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Kelechi Nwakali · Huesca |
| 12' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 13' | ⚽ | Cristian Salvador · Huesca |
| 28' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Burgos |
| 48' | 🟨 | Cristian Salvador · Huesca |
| 76' | ⚽ | Pablo Valcarce · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Claudio Medina · Burgos |
| 90' | ⚽ | Álvaro Rodriguez · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 510.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1468.00 | 1584.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.55 | 9.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 2.89 | 4.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 28.31 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |