← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Oct 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 44% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Mirandes win | 28% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Mirandes +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Dyego Sousa · Almeria |
| 23' | ⚽ | Dyego Sousa · Almeria |
| 25' | 🟨 | Oriol Rey · Mirandes |
| 26' | ⚽ | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
| 29' | 🟨 | Riccardo Capellini · Mirandes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 53' | ⚽ | Dyego Sousa · Almeria |
| 60' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Iñigo Vicente · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 145.00 | 206.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1461.98 | 1612.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.30 | 13.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| league points | 14.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 2.71 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.67 | 27.14 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |