← Segunda División 2021 · Thu, Oct 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 52% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Ponferradina win | 20% | 5.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.67 |
| Over | 41% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
| 24' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 47' | ⚽ | Cristian Rodríguez · Ponferradina |
| 52' | 🟨 | José Copete · Ponferradina |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ricard Pujol · Ponferradina |
| 74' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 446.00 | 1238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1458.77 | 1492.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.54 | -7.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.83 |
| league points | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 4.94 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 28.48 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |