← Segunda División 2021 · Wed, Oct 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Lugo win | 32% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Lugo +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.61 |
| Over | 39% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (og) | Erick Ferigra · Lugo |
| 7' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · Lugo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Sergi Cardona · Las Palmas |
| 33' | ⚽ | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 60' | 🟨 | Joselu · Lugo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Diego Alende · Lugo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 72' | 🟨 | Oscar Clemente · Las Palmas |
| 77' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 80' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 29 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 202.00 | 964.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1435.78 | 1513.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.63 | 36.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 3.11 | 4.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.21 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |