← Segunda División 2021 · Wed, Oct 20, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 55% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Ibiza win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Valladolid −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Mateusz Bogusz · Ibiza |
| 52' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 68' | 🟨 | Francisco Grima · Ibiza |
| 69' | 🟨 | Kike Pérez · Valladolid |
| 71' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Ibiza |
| 81' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 141.00 | 445.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1559.00 | 1470.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.02 | -38.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| league points | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 30.33 | 28.24 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |