← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Oct 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Fuenlabrada +0 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Rubén Pulido · Fuenlabrada |
| 24' | 🟨 | Cristóbal Márquez · Fuenlabrada |
| 41' | 🟨 | Cristóbal Márquez · Fuenlabrada |
| 41' | 🟥 | Cristóbal Márquez · Fuenlabrada |
| 70' | 🟨 | Arturo Molina Tornero · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Altube · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1234.00 | 258.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1494.41 | 1502.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.65 | 8.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.82 |
| league points | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 7.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 28.85 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -1.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |