← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Oct 16, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Málaga CF win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Málaga CF +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Genaro · Málaga CF |
| 25' | 🟨 | Javi Jiménez · Málaga CF |
| 28' | ⚽ | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 37' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 44' | ⚽ | Juan Narváez · Zaragoza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Juan Narváez · Zaragoza |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jairo Samperio · Málaga CF |
| 82' | 🟨 | Borja Sainz · Zaragoza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 137.00 | 441.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1466.12 | 1456.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.06 | 0.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 4.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 28.84 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |