← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Oct 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 35% | 2.97 |
| Ibiza win | 34% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cartagena +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 29' | ⚽ | Dauda Mohammed · Cartagena |
| 42' | 🟨 | Alejandro Gálvez · Ibiza |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 49' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 57' | ⚽ | Shinji Okazaki · Cartagena |
| 62' | ⚽ | Julián Delmás · Cartagena |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alejandro Gálvez · Ibiza |
| 85' | 🟥 | Alejandro Gálvez · Ibiza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nono · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 282.00 | 435.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1442.90 | 1509.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.21 | -2.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 61.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.88 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.20 | 28.26 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | — |