← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Oct 9, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.98 |
| Las Palmas win | 18% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Chumi · Almeria |
| 32' | ⚽ | Francisco Portillo · Almeria |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sergi Cardona · Las Palmas |
| 56' | 🟨 | Erick Ferigra · Las Palmas |
| 67' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 73' | 🟨 | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 84' | 🟨 | Dyego Sousa · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 191.00 | 953.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1609.43 | 1500.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.00 | 8.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 4.89 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.10 | 26.35 |
| state index | 0.95 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |