← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Oct 3, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Lugo win | 15% | 6.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.59 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | ⚽ | Gaku Shibasaki · Leganes |
| 51' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 55' | ⚽ | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kenneth Omeruo · Leganes |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 80' | 🟨 | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gaku Shibasaki · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Butarque |
| coach days | 275.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1542.97 | 1417.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 7.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 27.83 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |