← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Oct 3, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Cartagena win | 22% | 4.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Fabio González · Las Palmas |
| 25' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 29' | 🟨 | Álex Gallar · Cartagena |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 36' | ⚽ | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
| 63' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
| 63' | 🟥 | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
| 72' | ⚽ | Adalberto Peñaranda · Las Palmas |
| 83' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Adalberto Peñaranda · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergi Cardona · Las Palmas |
| coach days | 947.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1487.15 | 1455.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.51 | -1.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.57 | — |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 30.24 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |