← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Oct 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.03 |
| Ponferradina win | 30% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Valladolid +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 28' | 🟨 | José Copete · Ponferradina |
| 39' | 🟨 | Álvaro Aguado · Valladolid |
| 62' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 65' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 68' | ⚽ | Rubén Alcaraz · Valladolid |
| 72' | ⚽ | Shon Weissman · Valladolid |
| 83' | 🟥 | Diogo Queirós · Valladolid |
| 85' | 🟨 | Roberto Jiménez · Valladolid |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1218.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1491.16 | 1545.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.30 | -30.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 46.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.70 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 6.11 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 28.52 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |