← Segunda División 2021 · Mon, Sep 27, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Cartagena win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Cristóbal Márquez · Fuenlabrada |
| 34' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 38' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 39' | 🟨 | Julián Delmás · Cartagena |
| 51' | 🟨 | Franco Soldano · Fuenlabrada |
| 63' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Cartagena |
| 64' | 🟨 | Álex Gallar · Cartagena |
| 65' | 🟨 | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 66' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 24 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 9 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| 75' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Cartagena |
| 77' | 🟨 | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 83' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Martínez · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gastón Silva · Cartagena |
| coach days | 238.00 | 269.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1495.72 | 1463.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.86 | 28.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.73 |
| league points | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.85 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.03 | 29.86 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.51 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |