← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Sep 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 37% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Málaga CF win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Málaga CF +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 34' | 🟨 | Paulino De la Fuente · Málaga CF |
| 44' | ⚽ | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 69' | 🟨 | José Copete · Ponferradina |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟨 | Brandon · Málaga CF |
| 78' | 🟥 | Haitam Abaida · Málaga CF |
| 83' | ⚽ | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1206.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1484.76 | 1480.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.20 | 16.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.60 |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.77 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 26.26 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |