← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Sep 19, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 67' | 🟨 | Adolfo Gaich · Huesca |
| 67' | 🟨 | Isidro Pitta · Huesca |
| 67' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 74' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 75' | 🟨 | Alejandro Sotillos · Fuenlabrada |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 82' | 🟨 | Adolfo Gaich · Huesca |
| 82' | 🟥 | Adolfo Gaich · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 110.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1564.07 | 1492.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.10 | 13.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 6.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.69 | -1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 28.28 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.50 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |