← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Sep 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Lugo win | 24% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.5 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 17' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 60' | 🟨 | Gastón Silva · Cartagena |
| 67' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Cartagena |
| 79' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 84' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 260.00 | 170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1455.86 | 1425.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.24 | 7.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 30.28 | 28.23 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |